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Stratpol: bulletin n°183

stratpol$61 billion for Zelensky, offensive on Kharkov

Stratpol - Apr 29, 2024

STRATPOL: bulletin n°183 by Xavier Moreau

   

00:00 Ukraine: why France won
deep geopolitics
Debate with Colonel de Jong
Tytelman @PeurDuDebat
03:50 Economy
MS-21 in production
Sanction vs Russian LNG
Knauf leaves Russia
Pressure on Unicredit
09:30 Politico-diplomatic
The Moldovan case
Maneuvers in the South China Sea
Blinken in Beijing
Sino-Indonesian convergence
Visit of Aliyev (Azerbaijan) to Moscow
Iraq-Türkiye axis
15:30 Empire of lies
Russian GDP
18:48 Arming
DCA: US pressure on Athens and Madrid
Russian electronic warfare vs NATO-Kievi drones
21:50 General military considerations
$61 billion for Zelensky
London goes to war
Shoigu: 500 Ukrainian losses
Ukrainian mutinies
Offensive on Kharkov?
34:40 Map of military operations

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Stratpol: bulletin n°182

stratpolUnconditional surrender, Telegram vs FBI, Stoltenberg empties stocks

Stratpol - Apr 21, 2024

STRATPOL: bulletin n°182 by Xavier Moreau

   

Summary of this one hundred and eighty-second bulletin:

03:32 – Economy:
• IMF Stratolization
• Restoration of Russian refineries
• US sanctions vs Russian tankers
• US sanctions vs Russian LNG
• US sanctions against Japan
• US sanctions vs Russian metals
• US sanctions vs French nuclear
• Polish looting

12:30 – Politico-diplomatic:
• Scholz in Beijing
• Unconditional surrender

13:33 – Empire of lies:
• Foreign Policy wants to negotiate

15:43 – Terrorism:
• Maidan in Tbilisi

18:19 – Arming:
• Stoltenberg empties stocks
• Czech shells?
• Used F-35 in Switzerland
• No Greek F-16s for kyiv

20:30 – General military considerations
• Richoux: Gamelin humiliated
• Donbass-Donetsk Canal
• Pravy Sektor on the run
• Mass desertions?
• Foreign Legion in Slaviansk

27:15 – Map of military operations

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Trump next

Jacob's ladderEurope panics as Trump rises from his political grave

Jacob's Ladder - Apr 11, 2024

Last week was full of twists and turns. It began with the United States Supreme Court's 9-0 condemnation of the use of the 14th Amendment to punish political opponents.

   

Then the Wicked Witch of kyiv, Vic(Toria) “Cookies” Nuland, was ousted from the State Department after torturing the world for decades with her psychopathy.

Then Donald Trump practically sent Nikki Haley back to his Waffle House near Greenville.

Finally, French President Emmanuel Macron tried to convince the whole world that NATO was ready to send troops to Ukraine. Which ones? Clearly not French troops, who are only good at this point for “going on safari in North Africa,” according to Colonel Doug MacGregor.

And not the British ships either, which don't seem to be able to leave port. I think there is a sort of competition between the failures of the Boeing airlines and the failures of the British ships… but I can also be a conspiracy theorist.

*bong*

No, the answer has always been that it would be American troops in Europe fighting Europe's war that everyone – the UK, Davos and its EU apparatchiks, and US neoconservatives – thought it would be a resounding success in bleeding Russia.

And I'm sure that's exactly how they planned it in their Microsoft Project file at Globalist Central.

This clearly did not happen and it is Ukraine which is in great difficulty today. The truth, which has become rare since the start of the war two years ago, is that Ukraine has always been in great difficulty.

And this led, predictably, to the situation we have today. U.S. support for the Ukraine project is coming to an end, if it hasn't already. And the panic in Europe is palpable.

All this was very predictable if we accepted the framework of a split at the top of the American hierarchy. One faction committed to the Davos vision of the future, which involved a docile, even defeated, United States, and another faction that looked up from their screens and said, “Uh…no.”

It was all obvious about eight months ago, when the big NATO summit in Vilnius ended with groans from then-British Defense Minister Ben Wallace. Wallace was supposed to replace Jens Stoltenberg as NATO Secretary General, but was pushed aside by Joe Biden (JOAH Bii-Den!).

After that, there was no further talk of Ukraine joining NATO. Zelensky returned to kyiv with tears in his eyes after Biden gave him nothing either. Then, in October, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy was ousted in a coup by Matt Gaetz and a handful of GOP tax hardliners.

They immediately got new House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) to tie any new foreign aid funding to spending cuts and earmarking funds for border security, in as much as the slim majority in Congress would allow.

Since then, Joe Biden has been forced to look under the Pentagon sofas for a few million dollars to send to Ukraine. He found 300 the other day. As bad as the situation is, the fact that it's millions rather than billions should be considered a victory.

The Senate tried to blackmail Johnson with its ridiculous $95 billion aid bill and Johnson simply pressured boss Chuck Schumer by requesting a two-week recess. Today, the best they can hope for is a more modest bill, with a loan/rental clause, without the money being earmarked for “humanitarian aid” – a euphemism for fill the pockets.

And despite his rapprochement with Senate hawks, Johnson continues to use aid to Ukraine as a way to put domestic financing reforms first. Every day of haggling over these issues is another day that spells the end of Project Ukraine, as Russian forces take towns and villages in Western Donbas every day.

Again, this is not an ideal solution, far from it, but it is a Pyrrhic victory.

But this is the situation after last week and it is much better than at the beginning of the year, since this money was already expected six months ago.

Europe is now able to completely remove the mask. Indeed, as the United States slowly withdraws from Ukraine, the EU's calls for America to stay the course are growing louder and more strident.

Remember that in 2022-23, when it looked like the United States was determined to move forward in Ukraine, European leaders like Macron and others were more circumspect. They wanted to give a warning about the dangers of escalation in Ukraine. They were able to appear as moderates in the situation room, while continuing to send billions of euros in aid and weapons, forcing everyone to comply with their demands.

The real event revealing Europe's real position on this war was Hungary's threat to Viktor Orban of complete economic devastation if he did not allow their aid program to continue. 50 billion dollars to pass to the European Council.

Now that all of Nuland's military plans have failed, the Ukrainian army has been destroyed for the third time, and all their attempts to undermine the United States legally and economically (Powell must Pivot!) have failed, Europe is found in blind panic.

“The US Democratic government and EU leaders, as well as the leaders of the largest EU member states, are pro-war governments. Donald Trump is for peace, Hungary is for peace. This difference is the basis of everything”

Viktor Orban

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Paris - Moscow: verbal and business escalation

The 7 of QuebecVerbal escalation between Paris and Moscow, lucrative business

The Quebec 7s - April 05, 2024

In this period of economic crisis which is cruelly hitting France, the Macron government needs to create a climate of war or fear of war to require workers to participate in the phantasmagoric “war effort”, through additional socio-economic sacrifices.

   

In a previous article entitled “What are Macron's warlike gesticulations and warlike rantings for?”, after emphasizing that the French army did not have the human and military resources to carry out a high-intensity military offensive against Russia, let alone of international legal legitimacy, I concluded my analysis with these words: “In reality, Putin has become Macron’s best ally. It serves as a bulwark to wage its class war against the French proletariat, as a scarecrow to justify and legitimize the authoritarian hardening of governance. To ensure France’s militarist and fascist transition.”

While Macron blusters by threatening to send troops to Ukraine to fight big Russian capital, France continues to widely open French borders to Russian companies and to do business with Russia. We remember that the Minister of the Economy, Bruno Le Maire, declared: “We are going to cause the collapse of the Russian economy” through Western economic sanctions. If there has been an economic collapse, it is that of the French economy.

For a minister determined to torpedo Russia's economy, it is surprising to learn from reliable sources that he is authorizing several companies to continue their trade with Russian companies. The French bourgeoisie is not near hypocrisy. It's not an imposture.

This is the case with the agrochemical factories of the Boréalis group, which has production sites in Austria and Germany, but above all three factories in France: near Rouen, near Melun and in Alsace. Thousands of tonnes of Russian ammonia continue to arrive at Boréalis' French factories, notably that of Rouen. As a reminder, Russia is the world's leading exporter of ammonia, which, curiously, does not seem to be subject to European sanctions packages. Because, according to specialists, this raw material constitutes an important issue for Europe, and therefore for France.

In a recent report, Greenpeace revealed how the French company Framatome, a subsidiary of EDF, and the German company Siemens Energy continue their business with the Russian state nuclear company Rosatom. “France is lobbying fiercely at the European level in order to protect the interests of the nuclear industry and continue its nuclear trade with Rosatom,” underlines Greenpeace.

While, on the diplomatic front, Macron theatrically raises the threat of war against Russia, on the economic front, the real sinews of war, that is to say the valorization of capital, the French company Framatome , peacefully signs a joint venture with the Russian giant Rosatom to manufacture nuclear fuel in Germany. This cooperation between the two giants arouses indignation and protest in Germany. Indeed, the agreement concluded between the French Framatome and the Russian Rosatom fuels controversy in Germany, where the factory is located in which Framatome will assemble, under Russian license, the fuel intended to power nuclear reactors. Thousands of German opponents expressed their anger against this Franco-Russian cooperation, experienced as a betrayal, even a dagger planted in Germany's back by France.

In addition to the agrochemical and nuclear sectors, France and Russia are continuing their economic idyll in the field of wine, particularly that of fine wines. According to exclusive customs documents published by the economic site Challenges, on March 16, 2024, great Burgundy wines were delivered during the years 2022 and 2023 to Moscow, bypassing the European embargo. In economic matters, the credo of the Macron regime is: what matters is the bottle (the State, pseudo-democratic or dictatorial), as long as we have the intoxication (of money)!

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Baltimore attack

Réseau InternationalBrilliant strategic attack

International Network - Apr 03, 2024

Lara Logan said mass, for her, the Baltimore bridge affair is a military attack.

   

I leave this assessment to her, noting however that her arguments are devilishly convincing, and that it is enough to have done a little geostrategy to arrive at the same conclusion as her.

Unlike September 11, it is not the Deep State, US, Israeli or British, which ultimately only knows how to do mass hemoglobin, and the multiple attacks caused by their false noses are only large-scale murders. But for what purpose? Ultimately none, the victims are buried, at best, they are justifications for things already decided.

Here, any slightly informed person can see a very significant shock wave.

“Make no mistake: this was an extraordinary attack in terms of planning, timing and execution.”

“The bridge was built specifically to transport hazardous materials – fuel, diesel, propane gas, nitrogen, highly flammable materials, chemicals and oversized cargo that cannot fit into the tunnels – that the supply chain is now crippled” .

“The structural destruction is probably absolute.”

Obviously, it is something different from the Crocus attack, which, in terms of economic impact, is almost zero, but in terms of remobilization of the Russians, totally counterproductive. In fact, it is a stupid and nasty attack. Not to mention being stupid. If a Russian doubted the need to crush Ukraine and NATO, he no longer doubts it.

So, in the full post, we see an analysis that ultimately cannot be disputed. The port is blocked for a long time, it is strategic and the bridge is strategic in itself. The USA is also devilishly dependent on its ports, with an economy largely refocused by globalization on imports (a lot) and exports (much less), but which have become totally essential, and the central cities and ports (airports too), are the only anchor points of the financial and political system, totally governed by the Democratic Party. The interior has become Trumpist out of necessity and left abandoned.

The message may ultimately be very clear. “We can completely paralyze you in a few accidents”, of which there is no trace, and it must be admitted that it is much more clever than Kalash attacks. Here, the political authorities hasten to say that it is not an attack, in haste, and even if they know nothing about it. This speed is what first made me doubt the serendipity.

On the other hand, what do we have? We want to deliver “hundreds of VABs”, military vehicles 40 years old, which are, at best, totally unsuitable for the battlefield… In fact, these VABs should never have been built or delivered. Built economically, they are not suitable for combat. 6-wheel vehicles, but more expensive, would have been more appropriate.

Obviously, we are sweeping the stock funds, and we are delivering scrap metal. In fact, given the reduction in the size of armies, these old vehicles, obsolete at birth, no longer have any use. If this is how we want the Ukrainians to win…

In terms of infrastructure, in France, we are not much better than in the USA. Anyone who has been to the Paris region has noticed that the RER C was not quite that. And it gets worse. But it's not on the road to the Olympics.

In terms of profound mental deficiency, we are also quite well endowed with certain “comedians” whose humorous nature escapes me a little. Since they are really stupid, they have just put a target on their backs.

On the real economy side, we see the EU collapsing: “European imports of gas and oil down sharply”. The Zécolos will be happy. We also see that the essential oil for transport is falling significantly less (in volume) than gas.

What is essential in Europistan, moreover, reveals American-style differences, between democratic metropolises and the rest of the country, which is increasingly opposed. The value of thermal strainers is falling (“leopard spot” crisis), which affects everyone, and I have also seen people who are very well off economically, stop heating themselves to limit bills. And who wonder when it will stop.

No need, ultimately, to send a Kinzal on a target. A well-trained Chinese-Russian-Iranian-Yemeni-etc. team can very well take control of a ship and send it into trouble. The icing on the cake is that the Western governments can no longer even cry wolf or rather, “attack”.

Afterwards, internal forces of decline take over.

“The Baltimore bridge collapse was an “absolutely brilliant strategic attack” on America’s critical infrastructure – most likely cyber – and our intelligence agencies know it. In terms of information warfare, they simply divided the United States along the Mason Dixon Line, just like during the Civil War.

Lara Logan

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Stratpol: bulletin n°179

stratpolPutin vs CIA, Serbia vs NATO, 12 FAB.

Stratpol - March 31, 2024

STRATPOL: bulletin n° 179 by Xavier Moreau

   

01:00 – Economy
The slow decline of coal (Bloomberg)
Russian microelectronics
Mark Rutte in China
Alliance Framatom – Rusatom
Social or military (Wall Street Journal)?

06:45 p.m. – Politico-diplomatic
25 years ago, Serbia's victory against NATO

08:45 – Terrorism
Ukraine: terrorist hideout
Crocus City Hall bombing

18:10 – Empire of lies
Left-wing terrorist jubilation
War of religions

20:05 – Arming
Patriot for all
challenger II
12 FOB/month

22:07 – General military considerations
No war against NATO
The fall of kyiv
Russian summer offensive
General conscription

29:09 – Map of military operations

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Islamist attacks CIA MI6

VoltairenetThe links between the Islamists and the “integral nationalists” of kyiv

Voltairenet - March 28, 2024

The Moscow attack recalls the links between the Islamists and the “integral nationalists” of kyiv

   

It matters little whether the attack on the audience at the Crocus City Hall concert in Moscow was prepared by ISIS with or without the Ukrainians: these people are used to working together.
This has been going on for three quarters of a century, but is still not integrated into the collective consciousness: the “integral nationalists” today in power in Kiev work in concert with the Muslim Brotherhood and their militias, under the supervision of the services Anglo-Saxon secrets. Their basic function is to fight against the Russians.

On March 22, 2024, a commando of four fighters attacked the audience of a rock concert at Crocus City Hall in Krasnogorsk (a northeastern suburb of Moscow), killing 140 people and injuring 115 others. Then he set the building on fire.

The terrorist commando was arrested by the Russians while trying to cross the Ukrainian border and was waiting for them on the other side. They were identified as Tajiks. They admitted to having been recruited via the internet to kill for money. They assured that they had not had contact with their employer. However, a business card with the name Dmytro Yarosh was found on them. Yarosh having been founder of the Pravy Sektor militia, number 2 on the Ukrainian Security Council, then advisor to the head of the armed forces, the Russian authorities immediately accused Ukraine. Yarosh has denied his country's involvement. Seven accomplices were also arrested.

Russian counterterrorism police tortured terrorists and filmed their brutality. Public television showed these images and commented on them. Russian culture is both European and Asian. The Russian people feel no empathy for criminals.

Daesh claimed responsibility for the attack, cutting short accusations of a Russian false flag operation. These terrorists were not fanatics, but professionals. They did not set themselves on fire in public, but fled, like those who attacked Paris and Saint-Denis, killing 130 people, in 2015, notably at the Bataclan rock concert. They therefore did not act out of hatred of Russia, but as part of a military operation whose strategic implications were thought out in advance.

According to US National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson, Islamic State terrorists are solely responsible for this attack. Many commentators have denounced a priori any amalgamation between the Islamic organization and supporters of the kyiv government. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has accused Russia of reflexively attacking Ukraine. However, Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained his accusations exclusively against kyiv, ignoring Daesh.

Since 2014 and the overthrow of the elected Ukrainian president, we have regularly highlighted the links between integral nationalists and Islamists, and particularly the role of Dmytro Yarosh. The facts speak for themselves. We do not know whether or not the Ukrainians organized this attack, but it is clear that they knew the attackers very well: Ukrainian integral nationalists and jihadists have been fighting together for three-quarters of a century.

• Before World War II, the Muslim Brotherhood formed ties with the Nazis against the British. No wonder, all the anti-colonialist movements of the time (including the Indian MK Gandhi) naturally turned to the side of the Axis in search of an ally. In general, they distanced themselves from it as soon as they had verified their racism on the spot. However, the Brotherhood benefited from subsidies from the Third Reich over the years and retained these links throughout the war. When, at the Liberation, the British and American secret services recovered many Nazi leaders and recycled them into their “cold war” against the Soviets, they also recovered the governance of the Muslim Brotherhood. It was therefore quite natural that the CIA had Gerhard von Mende, the Nazi specialist on Islam in the Soviet Union, work together with Saïd Ramadan, the son-in-law of the founder of the brotherhood. The latter having been responsible for a program on Pakistani public radio, the CIA placed him in Munich at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. There he hosted a program for Soviet Muslims and met there Stepan Bandera, leader of the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN), and his right-hand man, Yaroslav Stetsko, the former Nazi Ukrainian Prime Minister. It was precisely the "Banderists" (described as "Ukrainonazis" by the Kremlin, but calling themselves "integral nationalists") who carried out the coup d'état ("EuroMaidan") of 2014 against the elected Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych .

• In the 1970s, the Saudi billionaire Osama Bin Laden participated in the meetings of the World Anti-Communist League of Chiang Kai-Shek and… Yaroslav Stetsko [5]. Osama bin Laden was a member of the Brotherhood and had been trained by the brother of Sayyid Qutb, the Brotherhood strategist and jihad theorist. It was in this context that he was chosen by the United States to become the leader of the mujahideen in Afghanistan against the Soviets.

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Stratpol: bulletin n°176

stratpolBulletin No. 176. Nuland: the end of the carnage? Bundeswehr wiretapped.

Stratpol - March 10, 2024

STRATPOL: bulletin n°176 by Xavier Moreau

   

01:08 – Economy
Grain exchange for BRICS
Russian hydrocarbons: + 80%
MS-21 delivery delay
Cape of Good Hope: luck for Africa
Polish-Ukrainian agricultural crisis

06:10 p.m. – Politico-diplomatic
Resignation of Victoria Nuland
Wang Yi vs collective West
Borrell hits reality
Trump wins the Primary
Macron in Czechia
Nigeria towards BRICS
Moldova vs Russia

15:50 – Terrorism
Ingushetia

16:42 – Arming
M1 Abrams vs T-72B3
Pentagon: exhaustion
Armata: too expensive
F-16: the NATO dancer
FAB-1500, the break
HIMARS vs Tornado

24:08 – General military considerations
Wiretapped Bundeswehr
Speech by V. Putin to Congress

27:38 – Map of military operations

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Stratpol: bulletin n°174

stratpolCapture of Avdeevka, cauldronophobia, excellence of the Russian army

Stratpol - Feb 25, 2024

STRATPOL: Bulletin n° 174 by Xavier Moreau

   

02:02 Economy
“Dramatic situation” in Germany
Bruno Lemaire: €10 billion in savings
Theft of Russian assets
Arctic LNG in force

06:10 Politico-diplomatic
13th package of anti-Russian sanctions
Munich Security Conference
Lavrov in Caracas

09:10 Empire of lies
Greater Continent vs Russian BITD

14:05 Terrorism
Death of Kuzminov
Death of Navalny
Revenge against Donetsk

19:00 Arming
Royal Navy broken down
US Navy in slow motion
A destroyed Abrams
No infrastructure for the F-16
Putin flies on TU-160M

22:59 General military considerations
Discreet and competent Russian generals
Supporters in Ukraine
Avdeevka: excellence of the Russian army
Azov below everything
Zaluzhny + NATO: a war of delay
Adaptation of the Pentagon

33:40 Map of military operations
Who controls the Black Sea?

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NATO war preparation

Réseau InternationalThe United States and NATO prepare military bases for war with Russia

International Network - Feb 15, 2024

Europe is currently hosting NATO's largest exercise since the end of the Cold War, Steadfast Defender 2024. They began on January 22 and will last until May 31, involving 90 troops and a large number of defense systems. weapons of 000 member countries of the “peaceful” bloc, as well as Sweden, which is still officially “neutral”.

These exercises are intended to test, develop and improve the regional defense plans of the North Atlantic Alliance, which were adopted in the summer of 2023. At the same time, less grandiose maneuvers will be carried out in different parts of Europe. Particular attention is paid to Northern Europe. So, in the period from March 5 to 14, the NATO exercises Nordic Response-24 (Northern Response-24) are to take place. They will be held in Norway, Finland, Sweden and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans.

During the Nordic Response-24 maneuvers, in addition to the transfer of personnel and equipment by sea, elements of the movement of forces and land and air assets from Finland and Sweden to Norway and back will be developed . The ground forces of Sweden and Finland will begin moving their troops from the Enontekie region (Finnish Lapland) towards Norway from March 1 to 3, i.e. before the exercises. Then the bulk of them will pass. After that, the troops of Sweden and Finland will leave Norway in the opposite direction, from March 14 to 17, that is, after the exercises.

In turn, the United States is rapidly increasing its presence in Northern Europe, entering into separate defense agreements with Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland. Washington has used its agents in these countries, who have been spreading information about Russian “aggression” for years. The Americans' actions are part of their “Arctic doctrine”, which aims to block the Russian northern sea route.

Recently, the United States signed an addendum to an earlier defense agreement with Norway. The Americans had access to the following facilities: Haakonsvern military base, Andøya, Ørland and Bardufoss airfields, Værnes airfield and garrison, Setermoen garrison (firing and training range) and the Osmarka and Namsen logistics infrastructure facilities. Before that, only four facilities were included in the agreement: Rygge, Evenes, Sola airfields and the Ramsund naval base.

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Putin - Tucker

Equality and ReconciliationTucker Carlson: the interview with Vladimir Putin in French!

Equality and Reconciliation - 10 Feb 2024

Here is the interview with Vladimir Putin by Tucker Carlson subtitled in French.

   

2 hours…

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Stratpol: bulletin n°172

stratpolBulletin No. 172. Special literary operation, Ukraine: why Russia won

Stratpol - Feb 10, 2024

STRATPOL: Bulletin n°172 by Xavier Moreau

   

00:00 – Special literary operation
Ukraine: why Russia won
deep geopolitics
LOGIOS
PlanetVPN

02:12 – Economy
Russian growth 2023 and 2024
Russian civil aviation
Joe Biden saves the planet
Bananas under sanctions
Russian and Ukrainian demographics

11:50 – Politico-strategic
Vladimir Putin by Tucker Carlson

15:35 – Terrorism
Sweden vs Nord Stream
Bombings on Lisitchansk, Donetsk and Belgorod
Guardian vs Banderists

18:40 – Armaments
Artillery coalition
Gamelin LGBT
Anti-drone protection for Russian tanks
Mini anti-drone missiles
Bayraktar in Ukraine

25:35 – General military considerations
Overall vision of the front
Avdeeka Banderist Bastion

26:58 – Map of military operations