His analysis is precise and substantiated. But Westerners did not listen to him. They relentlessly pursue the discourse they developed during the Cold War: they are democrats, while the others, all the others, are not. They will continue their support for Ukraine, even if the latter has hardly any more soldiers and has already lost on the ground.

Last week I recalled that in international law, selling weapons makes them responsible for their use. Therefore, if the West arms Ukraine, they must make sure that it will only use them to defend itself and never to attack the Russian territory of 2014. Otherwise, they will, despite themselves, go to war against Moscow.

Indeed, they are always careful not to become co-belligerents. For example, they first removed certain weapon systems from the planes they promised Ukraine before delivering them to them. Thus, they do not have the possibility of firing in flight, from Ukraine, air-to-surface missiles at distant targets inside Russia. However, in the long term, the Ukrainians could provide themselves with the necessary equipment and re-equip their planes with it.

The game of arming Ukraine without giving it the means to attack Moscow is today contested by Chinese diplomacy. The Wall Street Journal reported some aspects of these contacts while masking the substance of the Chinese position.

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